Young Forwards: Who Is More Valuable?

Two-thirds of the NBA season is a large enough sample to compare players.  The stat lines below compare two players from one western conference team.  They are both forwards, roughly the same height.  Each is in his fourth NBA season.

Production per 36 minutes played:

G

FGA

FG% ▾

FT%

TRB

AST

STL

BLK

TOV

PF

PTS

41

10.4

.544

.702

10.1

1.5

1.2

1.3

0.9

4.3

13.2

47

12.0

.512

.674

10.5

1.3

1.1

1.7

2.1

3.7

15.4

Provided by Basketball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 2/25/2014.

Which player do you think has been more valuable this year?

The player on top is signed for next season at $1.8 million.  The player on the bottom is signed for next season at $12.8 million.  That’s a difference in salary of $11 million!

The team is the Utah Jazz.

You can probably guess that the player on top is Jeremy Evans.  On bottom Derrick Favors.

In Favors defense he is four years younger than Evans.  He was also drafted 3rd in the 2010 NBA draft while Evans went 55th that year.

The Georgia Tech alum has a higher chance of stardom than does Mr. Evans.  But four years into their careers it’s hard to see a difference between on court performance.

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